模糊綜合評價法在液體推進劑罐區(qū) 風險評價中的應用
Application of the fuzzy overall evaluation method for liquid propellant storage risk
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摘要: 文章通過分析了液體推進劑貯存罐區(qū)風險因素的層次關(guān)系,，將影響推進劑罐區(qū)安全的因素劃分為人員素質(zhì)、安全管理,、罐區(qū)設備,、儲存設備、充裝過量等不同的層次,。通過層次分析法確定上述各影響因素的權(quán)重,，運用模糊綜合評價思想方法對液體推進劑貯存罐區(qū)風險進行了評價。結(jié)果表明,，：液體推進劑貯存罐區(qū)風險為第2二等級,，風險較大；其在諸多影響因素中,，安全管理所占的權(quán)重最大，其次權(quán)重為按人員素質(zhì),、充裝過量,、罐區(qū)設備,、存儲設備逐漸減小。最后,，文章對提出了事故的預防提出了有效針對性的事故的措施,。Abstract: By analyzing the hierarchy of safety factors in an oil depot, five categories are identified, that is, personnel, safety administration, store equipments, station equipments and over loading. The method for analyzing hierarchy process (AHP) is used to confirm the weights of evaluation factors, and the overall evaluation method based on the fuzzy analysis is used to evaluate the risk grade, and finally, the accident risk evaluation result for liquid propellant store is obtained. The result indicates that the risk degree is in the second level, which means a “bigger” risk and a hazard process. And the key point in the calculation is the safety administration aspects, with the human ability, over loading as well as the contingency to follow in order of importance. Finally, some comments are made on how to prevent accident.
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